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National Bureau of Statistics data show that in September nfl jerseys China's consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.6%, chain rose 0.6%, marking 23 months since a new high.
Price Development and Reform Commission Zhou Wang Jun, deputy director of the view that constitutes 3.6% of the rise in food prices accounted for 75%. Clearly, the current round of agricultural products prices surge has become the consensus of many experts and scholars.
But the root cause of promoting price is still excess liquidity.
According to the central bank recently released "2010 third quarter analysis of the macroeconomic situation in China" report, the current credit environment, the domestic currency was still loose. Recent monetary and credit growth gradually returning to normal, M2 growth rate highs, but still significantly higher than in 2000 and 2008 the average level of 16.3%.
In addition, quantitative easing monetary policy in developed countries increased the excess liquidity in the international market, China's foreign exchange and as a result of base money is growing.
According to data released by the People's Bank, September 2010,wholesale nfl jerseys financial institutions, foreign exchange for the additional 289.565 billion yuan, a record high since January. As of the end of September, China's foreign exchange reserves had reached 2.6 trillion. IMF expects China's reserves end of 2011 will exceed 3 trillion.
Excess liquidity will find a breakthrough. Especially when the deposits were negative interest rates, capital accumulation will be high-income areas, with a speculative stock and real estate market will be the first choice.
2005 to 2007, a huge surge in the stock market is because a nfl jerseys cheap lot of money flow into the stock market. The total market capitalization of Shanghai and Shenzhen July 28, 2005 to 3 trillion yuan, to September 7, 2007 more than 23 trillion yuan, asset securitization rate for the first time more than 100%.
Meanwhile, housing supply is slow to keep up with demand, in the case of residents of the narrow investment channels, the direct result of the influx Jerseys of funds in China's soaring housing prices. China Index Research Institute of the data provided, money supply affect the real estate market is obvious, the real estate types of loans, M2 and sales area and price convergence trend, occur several times a common vertex and the bottom.
During the financial crisis, the momentum of rising asset prices to be interrupted, but then at 4 trillion of investment driven by the rapid rebound.
In order to curb housing prices, the authorities started from the first half of 2010 control measures. Property market turnover into a relatively low ebb.
But nhl jerseys precisely because the real estate market is subject to policy control, resulting in some shift of liquidity and the futures markets for agricultural products. Depreciation of mlb jerseys the dollar caused by speculative money, global inflation expectations, wantonly speculation hoarding.
In addition, a series of agricultural prices and the Chinese labor market has also Turning Point, resulting in an increase in labor costs.
The transfer prices of agricultural products but also has a strong effect, nba jerseys a kind of agricultural prices, the formation of the expected instability of agricultural markets, driving prices of industrial products and even short-term hikes, causing the price spiral growth, and eventually lead to inflation.
Monetary policy response to inflation risk is considered to be the most direct tool. October 19, China's central bank announced interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, is the CPI rise for several months in response.
Although this rate hike surprised the market, but undoubtedly the monetary policy, "the camera and action" response. As the National People's Congress Wu Xiaoling, vice chairman of Financial and Economic Committee recently put it: "In the capital growth, structural adjustment, control is expected to coordinate among these three objectives, the management of inflation expectations have become increasingly urgent."
As an important part of the money supply, while new loans in 2010 domestic goal of 9.6 trillion from 2009 down to 7.5 trillion yuan, but still is overweight.
Seen in this light, super fat reverse the currency, and constantly recovery of mobility, will be a period of time the mission of the monetary authorities. Wu also believes that excess monetary stimulus together with rapid economic growth, "Now, when the transition should go to."
But clearly, the central bank faces a dilemma in the policy at the nfl jersey online operational level. On the one hand, recycling of excess liquidity, negative interest rates as soon as the situation changes, will help contain inflation, but is likely to accelerate the inflow of hot money; the other hand, if you take into account the pressure of RMB appreciation, and reduce the interest rate increase, it will further push up the domestic inflation. In this context, the quantitative monetary instruments will play a greater regulatory flexibility.
On the other hand, need to address the inflation pressure, simply by "restriction" and "fight against price gouging" and other administrative regulation, is a short-term measure, not help the problem of long-term solution. Should be more regulation of the nfl jerseys wholesale introduction of market-oriented means, the source of the money supply from the start, a reasonable guide market expectations and let the market hand "beats."
Governance by means of market prices to be
National Bureau of Statistics data show that in September nfl jerseys China's consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.6%, chain rose 0.6%, marking 23 months since a new high.
Price Development and Reform Commission Zhou Wang Jun, deputy director of the view that constitutes 3.6% of the rise in food prices accounted for 75%. Clearly, the current round of agricultural products prices surge has become the consensus of many experts and scholars.
But the root cause of promoting price is still excess liquidity.
According to the central bank recently released "2010 third quarter analysis of the macroeconomic situation in China" report, the current credit environment, the domestic currency was still loose. Recent monetary and credit growth gradually returning to normal, M2 growth rate highs, but still significantly higher than in 2000 and 2008 the average level of 16.3%.
In addition, quantitative easing monetary policy in developed countries increased the excess liquidity in the international market, China's foreign exchange and as a result of base money is growing.
According to data released by the People's Bank, September 2010,wholesale nfl jerseys financial institutions, foreign exchange for the additional 289.565 billion yuan, a record high since January. As of the end of September, China's foreign exchange reserves had reached 2.6 trillion. IMF expects China's reserves end of 2011 will exceed 3 trillion.
Excess liquidity will find a breakthrough. Especially when the deposits were negative interest rates, capital accumulation will be high-income areas, with a speculative stock and real estate market will be the first choice.
2005 to 2007, a huge surge in the stock market is because a nfl jerseys cheap lot of money flow into the stock market. The total market capitalization of Shanghai and Shenzhen July 28, 2005 to 3 trillion yuan, to September 7, 2007 more than 23 trillion yuan, asset securitization rate for the first time more than 100%.
Meanwhile, housing supply is slow to keep up with demand, in the case of residents of the narrow investment channels, the direct result of the influx Jerseys of funds in China's soaring housing prices. China Index Research Institute of the data provided, money supply affect the real estate market is obvious, the real estate types of loans, M2 and sales area and price convergence trend, occur several times a common vertex and the bottom.
During the financial crisis, the momentum of rising asset prices to be interrupted, but then at 4 trillion of investment driven by the rapid rebound.
In order to curb housing prices, the authorities started from the first half of 2010 control measures. Property market turnover into a relatively low ebb.
But nhl jerseys precisely because the real estate market is subject to policy control, resulting in some shift of liquidity and the futures markets for agricultural products. Depreciation of mlb jerseys the dollar caused by speculative money, global inflation expectations, wantonly speculation hoarding.
In addition, a series of agricultural prices and the Chinese labor market has also Turning Point, resulting in an increase in labor costs.
The transfer prices of agricultural products but also has a strong effect, nba jerseys a kind of agricultural prices, the formation of the expected instability of agricultural markets, driving prices of industrial products and even short-term hikes, causing the price spiral growth, and eventually lead to inflation.
Monetary policy response to inflation risk is considered to be the most direct tool. October 19, China's central bank announced interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, is the CPI rise for several months in response.
Although this rate hike surprised the market, but undoubtedly the monetary policy, "the camera and action" response. As the National People's Congress Wu Xiaoling, vice chairman of Financial and Economic Committee recently put it: "In the capital growth, structural adjustment, control is expected to coordinate among these three objectives, the management of inflation expectations have become increasingly urgent."
As an important part of the money supply, while new loans in 2010 domestic goal of 9.6 trillion from 2009 down to 7.5 trillion yuan, but still is overweight.
Seen in this light, super fat reverse the currency, and constantly recovery of mobility, will be a period of time the mission of the monetary authorities. Wu also believes that excess monetary stimulus together with rapid economic growth, "Now, when the transition should go to."
But clearly, the central bank faces a dilemma in the policy at the nfl jersey online operational level. On the one hand, recycling of excess liquidity, negative interest rates as soon as the situation changes, will help contain inflation, but is likely to accelerate the inflow of hot money; the other hand, if you take into account the pressure of RMB appreciation, and reduce the interest rate increase, it will further push up the domestic inflation. In this context, the quantitative monetary instruments will play a greater regulatory flexibility.
On the other hand, need to address the inflation pressure, simply by "restriction" and "fight against price gouging" and other administrative regulation, is a short-term measure, not help the problem of long-term solution. Should be more regulation of the nfl jerseys wholesale introduction of market-oriented means, the source of the money supply from the start, a reasonable guide market expectations and let the market hand "beats."